• Abdussamatov: Self-Amplifying Feedback Effects from Long-Term Declines in Solar Radiation will Trigger Deep Cooling Phase of the 19th Little Ice Age around 2080

    In climate modeling, it is generally accepted assumed that variations in the total solar irradiance (TSI) have an insignificant effect on climate, while during the Holocene the contribution of TSI to climate changes was great. Long term a weak temperature change (≈ 0.25 K) caused by TSI variations in the quasi-bicentennial cycle (BCC) significantly changes…

  • Zharkova: Modern Grand Solar Minimum and its Impact on the Terrestrial Environment

    The recent progress with understanding a role of the solar background magnetic field in defining solar and with quantifying the observed magnitudes of magnetic field at different times activity enable reliable long-term prediction of solar activity on a millennium timescale. This approach revealed a presence of not only 11 year solar cycles but also of…

  • Crok: How Biased is the Latest IPCC Report?

    In March 2023, with the publication of the so-called Synthesis report, the IPCC completed its Sixth Assessment cycle. During this cycle, which started in 2015, the IPCC published three special reports: Global Warming of 1.5 °C in October 2018; Climate Change and Land in August 2019; and Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in…