When it comes to public consensus, climate science is in a critical phase. On the one hand, publishing climate scientists do show a massively overwhelming consensus on what causes presentday climate change, on the other side, climate sceptics categorically deny this. At the same time, they fail to reach an internal consensus; as there is no agreement among them on what specific natural agent is responsible for the current warming trend, they never tell you what specific natural factor must be blamed. They only speak in general terms about different natural factors such as water, clouds, solar radiation, volcanic eruptions, and natural ocean currents, etc., which they believe may have caused the warming of the last hundred years. However, they fail to demonstrate a correlation between temperature and any of these agents during the relevant time span, a correlation that could be the basis of a solid consensus. In other words, climate sceptics are unable to provide reasonable explanations for the temperature rise in the last century. On the other hand, 97-99% of actively publishing climate scientists, biophysical scientists, geologists support the conclusion that human activities are the primary driver of recent global warming (Benestad et al., 2016; Cook et al., 2013; Lynas et al., 2021). The most recent analyses indicate this consensus now exceeds 99% (Mytych, 2024), making it one of the few instances in scientific history where almost all experts in a field agree on a particular topic (see Fig. 1).
